Global incidence and prevalence of gastritis and duodenitis from 1990 to 2019: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Gastritis and duodenitis, prevalent diseases of the digestive system, impose a significant global burden. This study aimed to examine their incidence and prevalence patterns worldwide, including changes over the past 30 years. METHODS: The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of gastritis and duodenitis, stratified by age, sex, geographical region, and sociodemographic index (SDI), were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease 2019. The dynamic trends were captured by calculating the average annual percentage changes (AAPC). RESULTS: In 2019, the global ASIR and ASPR of gastritis and duodenitis were 379.88/100 000 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 312.42/100 000-448.12/100 000) and 518.11/100 000 (95% UI: 420.62/100 000-631.66/100 000), respectively. The highest rates were observed among the 50-69 age group (ASIR: 856.48/100 000; ASPR: 1158.04/100 000) and in low SDI regions (ASIR: 443.33/100 000; ASPR: 631.22/100 000). From 1990 to 2019, there was a significant decrease in global ASIR (AAPC = -0.34%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.36% to -0.31%) and ASPR (AAPC = -0.34%, 95% CI: -0.37% to -0.31%) of gastritis and duodenitis. However, ASIR (AAPC = 0.47%, 95% CI: 0.42%-0.52%) and ASPR (AAPC = 0.51%, 95% CI: 0.47%-0.52%) of gastritis and duodenitis experienced a significant increase in low SDI regions. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a significant decrease in the global incidence and prevalence of gastritis and duodenitis, these conditions continue to impose a burden on individuals aged 50-69 years and low SDI regions. Targeted interventions for those specific populations and regions are necessary.

Epidemiology and Burden of Heart Failure in Asia.

Heart failure (HF) represents a complex clinical syndrome affecting multiple organs and systems of the body, which is a global public health concern because of its high prevalence, mortality, and medical cost. Asia, with its vast population, diverse ethnicities, and complex health care systems, faces challenges in the prevention and management of HF. However, unlike in Western nations, data on HF epidemiology is still limited in Asia. In this review, we will summarize available information regarding the burden of HF in Asia from the aspects of occurrence, etiology and risk factors, outcome, and management of HF, to provide insights for reducing the burden of HF and improving the prognosis of patients with HF.

The burden of Cardiovascular diseases in Jordan: a longitudinal analysis from the global burden of disease study, 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality worldwide. While countries in the Arab world continue to lack public health data and be severely understudied in health research, previous research has shown that compared to 1990, CVDs had a higher burden of disease in the Arab World in 2010. Jordan, a middle-income Arab country, is profiled with unique attributes such as a dual-sector healthcare system, political stability, and its role as a haven for refugees and migrants. These distinctive factors emphasize Jordan's suitability as a case study. This investigation aims to quantify CVD burden in Jordan and identify risk factors, contributing to a broader understanding of health challenges in the Arab region and beyond. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) dataset was used to estimate prevalence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) as age-standardized rates from 1990 to 2019. We calculated percentage change for nine specific CVDs and reported trends by gender and age groups. Additionally, data on twelve a priori selected behavioral, clinical, and environmental risk factors attributing to overall age-standardized CVDs DALY were reported per 100,00 population. RESULTS: In 2019, the age-standardized CVD prevalence, death, and DALYs rates in Jordan were 7980 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 7629, 8360), 248 (95% UI 211, 288), and 4647 (95% UI 4028, 5388), respectively. Despite an increase in the absolute number of mortality and prevalence, between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardized prevalence, death, and DALYs rates all decreased by 5.5%, 45.1%, and 46.7%, respectively. In 2019, the leading risk factors contributing to overall age-standardized CVDs DALY per 100,000 population were high systolic blood pressure, high BMI, dietary risks, and high LDL cholesterol. CONCLUSION: Despite decreasing burden rate of CVDs in Jordan between 1990 and 2019, CVDs remain the leading cause of mortality in Jordan, with an increase in the total number of prevalence and mortality. Overall, this contributes to increased healthcare costs. Further research is required to quantify the burden of CVDs and understand it better. Intervention measures and policies tailored to specific CVDs should be designed to reduce the burden of CVDs in Jordan.

How Possible Is the Elimination of Viral Hepatitis? An Analysis Based on the Global Burden of Disease from Hepatitis B and C, 1990-2019.

This study assesses the feasibility of hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV) elimination using an analysis of trends of epidemiology data (1990-2019) from the Global Burden of Disease Study. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to identify significantly changing points in the trends of Age-standardized Prevalence Rates (ASPR) and Age-standardized Mortality Rates (ASMR) and to estimate the annual percentage changes (APC) and the average annual percentage changes (AAPC) for the period. The Sociodemographic Index (SDI) was used to analyze trends between countries. The total percentage change of the ASPR (2019/1990) was -31.4% and -12.8% for HBV and HCV worldwide, respectively; the rate ratio (HBV/HCV) was 2.5. Mortality had decreased for HBV but not for HCV. The total percentage change for the ASMR (2019/1990) was -26.7% and 10.0% for HBV and HCV, respectively. While the ASMR of HBV decreased, HCV increased during this period. The percentage change in ASMR of HBV was highest in countries with high-middle SDI and lowest in countries with high SDI. For HCV, the percentage change in ASMR was highest in countries with high SDI (increase), and only in countries with low SDI did it decrease. The global HBV and HCV rates have fallen with different AAPCs associated with the SDI. Despite the advances, there is still a long way to go to achieve the 2030 elimination goals. An important challenge is related to finding a way to speed up the yearly rate at which the decline is happening.

Changing trends in the prevalence of heart failure impairment with Thalassemias over three decades.

BACKGROUND: To assess the prevalence trend and contributing factors of heart failure (HF) impairment with thalassemias at global, regional and national levels. METHODS: Data on HF impairment with thalassemias was collected from the Global Burden of Disease study. The absolute number and prevalence of the disease were systematically collected for each year, and the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) in HF impairment were calculated by gender, region and country to measure temporal trends. RESULTS: Thalassemias have caused a significant global burden since 1990, and the case number of HF related to thalassemias has been steadily increasing. The highest case number of HF impairments with thalassemias is observed in China (7739 cases) and the highest prevalence is in Pakistan (1.61 per 100,000) currently. Besides, the middle sociodemographic index (SDI) region carries the highest burden of comorbid disease yet exhibits the most evident trend for improvement across the five regions (EAPC = -.98). The burden of thalassemias and comorbid HF is generally higher in males than females with the gender gap growing chasm in the future. Besides, the hotspots of HF impairment with thalassemias have gradually shifted to low SDI regions, though middle SDI regions still hold a relatively higher prevalence (.37 per 100,000) across different regions. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of thalassemias and accompanying HF, as well as their temporal trends, vary greatly across countries and regions. These findings can improve understanding of these conditions and guide policymakers in developing appropriate policies to address disparities between countries.

Status and trend of refractive disorder burden in China based on a global perspective / 公共卫生与预防医学

Objective Based on the global burden of disease (GBD) study data, to analyze the current situation and changing trend of refractive disorders in China by comparing Japan, India, the United States, the United Kingdom and the world. Methods The prevalence, years lived with disability (YLD) rate of refractive disorders from 1990 to 2019 were obtained from the global health exchange (GHDx）database. The disease burden and change trend of refractive disorders were analyzed using Joinpoint and other software. Results In 2019, the number of refractive disorders in China exceeded 27 million, with the prevalence and YLD rate were 19.18‰ and 89.40/100,000 respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the prevalence and YLD rate of refractive disorders showed an increasing trend globally (except India), with the largest increase in China (up by 53.21% and 53.96% respectively). The age standardized YLD rates in China, Japan, the United States, and the United Kingdom were all lower than the global average level, but China's age standardized YLD rates were higher than the developed countries (Japan, the United States, and the United Kingdom). Conclusion From 1990 to 2019, there was a certain gap between China and developed countries in the control of refractive disorders. Therefore, it is necessary to understand the disease status from a global perspective in order to better prevent and control refractive disorders in the future.

Incidence Trends of Inherited Anemias at the Global, Regional, and National Levels Over Three Decades.

Inherited anemia continues to pose a significant public health concern on a global scale, owing to its extensive geographical prevalence, substantial patient population, and profound ramifications. Here, we investigated detailed information on inherited anemias (including thalassemias, thalassemias trait, sickle cell disease, sickle cell trait, G6PD deficiency, and G6PD trait) for the period 1990-2019 from the Global Burden of Disease study. Over the course of three decades, there has been a persistent rise in the incidence of inherited anemias worldwide, culminating in a total of 44,896,026 incident cases in 2019. However, the prevalence of inherited anemias has exhibited a consistent downward trend over successive years. Significantly, these inherited anemias primarily impact females, exhibiting a male-to-female ratio of 1:1.88. Among males, the most prevalent inherited anemia is G6PD deficiency, whereas G6PD trait prevails among females. The incidence rates of inherited anemias and their temporal trend exhibited significant variations across different regions, with Central Sub-Saharan Africa displaying the highest incidence rates and Central Latin America experiencing the most substantial decline. The findings of this study suggest a significant correlation between the Socio-Demographic index (SDI) and incidence rates of inherited anemias, particularly in regions with lower SDI levels such as Africa and South Asia. These results contribute valuable insights for the analysis of global trends in the burden of inherited anemias.

Global, regional, and national burden of gallbladder and biliary diseases from 1990 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: Gallbladder and biliary diseases (GABDs) are a major public health issue. AIM: To analysis the cause-specific incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) and its temporal trends of GABDs at the global, regional, and national level. Data on GABD were available from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. METHODS: The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to quantify temporal trend in GABD age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized YLD rate (ASYR) by region, sex. We analyzed the relationship between the GABD burden and country development level using the human development index (HDI). RESULTS: In 2019, the incident cases of GABD were 52003772, with an ASIR of 63432/100000 population. Globally, the number of incident cases and ASIR of GABD increased 97% and 58.9% between 1990 and 2019. Although, the ASPR and ASYR decreased from 1990 to 2019, the number of prevalent and YLDs cases increased. The highest ASIR was observed in Italy, and the highest ASPR and ASYR was observed in United Kingdom. The highest burden of GABD was found in low-SDI region, and the burden in female was significantly higher than males. A generally negative correlation (ρ = -0.24, P < 0.05) of GABD with the EAPC and human development index (HDI) (in 2021) were observed for ASIR. What's more, no correlation in ASPR (ρ = -0.06, P = 0.39) and ASYR (ρ = -0.07, P = 0.36) of GABD with the EAPC and HDI (in 2021) were observed, respectively. CONCLUSION: GABD remain a major global public health challenge; however, the burden of GABD varies geographically. Globally, the number of incident cases and ASIR of GABD increased between 1990 and 2019. The results of our study provide insight into the global disease burden of GABD and may assist policymakers in formulating effective policies to mitigate modifiable risk factors.

Burden of noncommunicable diseases among children and adolescents aged 10-24 years in China, 1990-2019: A population-based study.

China has hundreds of millions of children and adolescents aged 10-24 years, accounting for one-sixth of their total counterparts worldwide. We perform this study to clarify the priority of noncommunicable disease (NCD) control among youth in China via the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. The highest disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from NCDs among youth in China remain in mental disorders, while the most increasing incidence is from diabetes and kidney diseases during 1990-2019. Bullying victimization and high BMI are the top risk factors for DALYs from mental disorders and diabetes mellitus, respectively. The most substantial gender differences are found for alcohol use disorders among the 20-24 age subgroup, which is also the top risk factor for neoplasm DALYs. Targeted interventions for NCDs among youth in China should focus on high body mass, alcohol usage, and bullying victimization, providing crucial information for resource-limited settings across the world.

Long-term trend of future Cancer onset: A model-based prediction of Cancer incidence and onset age by region and gender.

OBJECTIVES: This study provided estimates of cancer incidence rate and onset age by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) regions and gender from 2020 to 2040, aiming to clarify the long-term patterns of future cancer onset. METHOD: Based on the incidence data from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) 2019 study, we constructed the Bayesian age-period-cohort model to calculate the age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) of cancers from 2020 to 2040. Using the average annual percentage change (AAPC) to quantify the trends of ASIR and the onset age. In addition, the incidences in 2019 were fixed to distinguish the age onset changes caused by demographic and incidence from 2020 to 2040. RESULTS: Globally, two-thirds of cancers have escalating trends of incidence rate, and the proportion of cancer weighted average onset age above 60 years old will grow from 62% to 76% between 2020 and 2040. In five SDI regions, the proportion of weighted average onset age above 60 years old will rise above 10% in the next 20 years and increase sequentially with the rise of the SDI level. Preclude sex-specific cancers, the onset age is younger in men than in women in 2040. Rule out the influence of changing demographics, half of cancer's morbidity has a youth-oriented tendency globally, which is concentrated in hormone-related and digestive tract cancer. CONCLUSION: From 2020 to 2040, the incidence and onset age changes demonstrate marked geographic and gender variations in the cancer spectrum. Cancer incidence and onset age are predicted to continuously increase worldwide in the future.

The Global Burden of Vascular Intestinal Disorders in 204 Countries and Territories From 1990 to 2019: Global Burden of Diseases Study.

Objectives: Assess the prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of vascular intestinal disorders (VID) from 1990 to 2019. Methods: This study conducted a secondary data analysis utilizing the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. The prevalence, mortality and DALYs of VID were analyzed by sex, age and socio-demographic index (SDI), respectively. Analyses were performed by using R software. Results: Globally, the number of prevalent VID cases increased from 100,158 (95% uncertainty interval: 89,428-114,013) in 1,990-175,740 (157,941-198,969) in 2019. However, the age-standardized rates (ASR) of VID prevalence declined from 2.47 (95% uncertainty interval: 2.24-2.76) per 100,000 population to 2.21 (1.98-2.48) per 100,000 population between 1990 and 2019. Furthermore, the ASR of mortality also decreased from 1990 to 2019. Between 1990 and 2019, the regions with high and high-middle level exhibited the highest diseases burden. Conclusion: Globally, the diseases burden associated with VID demonstrated a decline from 1990 to 2019. However, concerted efforts are still required to enhance measures to combat VID within countries categorized as high and high-middle SDI.

Global, regional, and national burden of ischaemic heart disease and its trends, 1990-2019.

OBJECTIVES: Ischemic heart disease (IHD) has high morbidity, disability, and mortality rates and is a major contributor to the global disease burden. This study aimed to obtain a more detailed description of the burden of IHD through secondary analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019. STUDY DESIGN: This is an epidemiological study. METHODS: Data for this study were obtained from the GBD 2019 database. Annual average percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to assess trends in IHD prevalence, morbidity, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Regional and national burden of IHD was assessed by stratifying by sex, age, and socio-demographic index (SDI). RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the global prevalence of IHD, morbidity cases, deaths, and DALYs increased, but the age-standardized rates of IHD burden decreased. Morbidity, mortality, and DALY rates for IHD in both sexes increased with age. The prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALY rates were higher in men than women in all age groups. In particular, the male-to-female ratios for mortality and DALY rates peaked among 35-39 year olds, while the male-to-female ratios for prevalence and morbidity peaked among 55-59 year olds. Age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and DALY rates were higher in low- and middle-income regions than in other SDI regions. CONCLUSION: Although age-standardized prevalence, morbidity, mortality, and age-standardized DALY rates due to IHD decreased globally from 1990 to 2019, age-standardized prevalence and morbidity of IHD increased in Low SDI, Low-middle SDI, and Middle SDI regions.

Neglected burden of injuries in Ethiopia, from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis of the global burden of diseases study 2019.

Background: The 2030 agenda for sustainable development goals has given injury prevention new attention, including halving road traffic injuries. This study compiled the best available evidence on injury from the global burden of diseases study for Ethiopia from 1990 to 2019. Methods: Injury data on incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years lost, years lived with disability, and years of life lost were extracted from the 2019 global burden of diseases study for regions and chartered cities in Ethiopia from 1990 to 2019. Rates were estimated per 100,000 population. Results: In 2019, the age-standardized rate of incidence was 7,118 (95% UI: 6,621-7,678), prevalence was 21,735 (95% UI: 19,251-26,302), death was 72 (95% UI: 61-83), disability-adjusted life years lost was 3,265 (95% UI: 2,826-3,783), years of live lost was 2,417 (95% UI: 2,043-2,860), and years lived with disability was 848 [95% UI: (620-1,153)]. Since 1990, there has been a reduction in the age-standardized rate of incidence by 76% (95% UI: 74-78), death by 70% (95% UI: 65-75), and prevalence by 13% (95% UI: 3-18), with noticeable inter-regional variations. Transport injuries, conflict and terrorism, interpersonal violence, self-harm, falls, poisoning, and exposure to mechanical forces were the leading causes of injury-related deaths and long-term disabilities. Since 1990, there has been a decline in the prevalence of transport injuries by 32% (95% UI: 31-33), exposure to mechanical forces by 12% (95% UI: 10-14), and interpersonal violence by 7.4% (95% UI: 5-10). However, there was an increment in falls by 8.4% (95% UI: 7-11) and conflict and terrorism by 1.5% (95% UI: 38-27). Conclusion: Even though the burden of injuries has steadily decreased at national and sub-national levels in Ethiopia over the past 30 years, it still remains to be an area of public health priority. Therefore, injury prevention and control strategies should consider regional disparities in the burden of injuries, promoting transportation safety, developing democratic culture and negotiation skills to solve disputes, using early security-interventions when conflict arises, ensuring workplace safety and improving psychological wellbeing of citizens.

Prevalence, incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years of drug use disorders for 204 countries and territories during the past 30 years.

Drug use disorders are increasingly recognized as the main cause of public health issues worldwide. The current analysis aims to provide the most comprehensive, updated estimates of the burden from drug use disorders at global, regional, and national levels during the past three decades. Prevalence, incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were estimated from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 by age and sex for drug use disorder as well as its four main categories (opioid use disorders, cocaine use disorders, amphetamine use disorders, and cannabis use disorders) in 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019. DisMod-MR 2.1, and Bayesian meta-regression were used to analyze prevalence and incidence, while the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) was used to estimate death of diseases. Globally, the burden of drug use disorders, as measured by the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of deaths and DALYs, continues to increase. The patterns by regions of DALYs due to drug use disorders varied significantly, and it is mainly in developed countries and concentrated among young people and males. Programs for drug use disorders management should be improved, particularly in opioid use disorders. Governments will face increasing demand for treatment and support services, and effective prevention as well as control strategies are required to reduce the burden from these causes.

Nutritional deficiencies in low-sociodemographic-index countries: a population-based study.

Background: We aimed to estimate the burden of nutritional deficiency according to sex and age in countries with a low sociodemographic index (SDI). Methods: Following the methods of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019, estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to determine trends in the age-standardized rates of incidence and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of nutritional deficiency and its main subcategories from 1990 to 2019 in low-SDI countries. Findings: From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence and DALY rates of nutritional deficiency showed decreasing trends, with EAPCs of -0.90 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06 to -0.75] and -3.20 (95% CI, -3.29 to -3.10), respectively, in low-SDI countries. In 2019, of the subcategories analyzed, vitamin A deficiency had the highest age-standardized incidence rate and protein-energy malnutrition had the highest age-standardized DALY rate. From 1990 to 2019, the greatest decrease in the age-standardized incidence rate was observed for vitamin A deficiency and the greatest decrease in the age-standardized DALY rate was observed for protein-energy malnutrition. At the national level, from 1990 to 2019, the greatest increase in the age-standardized incidence rate of overall nutritional deficiency was observed in males in Afghanistan (EAPC: 0.28; 95% CI, 0.07 to 0.49). Of the age groups analyzed, the highest incidence and DALY rates of overall nutritional deficiency and dietary iron deficiency were observed in children aged 1-4 years. Interpretation: The age-standardized incidence and DALY rates of nutritional deficiency decreased significantly from 1990 to 2019, especially for vitamin A deficiency and protein-energy malnutrition. Overall nutritional deficiency and dietary iron deficiency occurred primarily in children aged 1-4 years.

Rheumatic heart disease burden, trends, and inequalities in Asia, 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND: Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) is a serious global public health problem. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to characterise the regional burden, trends, and inequalities of RHD in countries and territories in the Asian Region. METHODS: The RHD disease burden was measured in terms of the numbers of cases and deaths, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), disability-loss healthy life years (YLDs), and years of life lost (YLLs) in 48 countries in the Asian Region. Data on RHD were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease. This study analysed changing trends in the burden between 1990 and 2019, quantified regional inequalities in mortality, and classified countries by 2019 YLLs. RESULTS: There were an estimated 22 246 127 cases of RHD in the Asian Region in 2019 and 249 830 deaths. The prevalence of RHD in the Asian Region in 2019 was 9% lower than the global estimate, while mortality was 41% higher. The mortality rate for RHD in the Asian Region trended downwards from 1990 to 2019, with an average annual percentage change of -3.2% (95% UI -3.3 to -3.1). From 1990 to 2019, absolute inequality in RHD-related mortality decreased in the Asian Region while relative inequality increased. Of the 48 countries studied, twelve had the highest level of RHD YLLs in 2017 and the smallest reduction in YLLs from 1990 to 2019. CONCLUSION: Although the burden of RHD in the Asian Region has steadily decreased since 1990, it remains a serious public health issue requiring greater attention. In the Asian Region, inequalities in the distribution of the RHD burden remain significant, with economically deprived countries typically bearing a greater share of the load.

Temporal trends in the prevalence of autoimmune diseases from 1990 to 2019.

AIM: To describe current situation and analyze temporal trends of prevalence for four autoimmune diseases including rheumatoid arthritis (RA), inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), multiple sclerosis (MS) and psoriasis, at the global, continental, and national levels. METHODS: The estimates and 95% uncertainty interval (UI) for age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of RA, IBD, MS and psoriasis were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. ASPR of RA, IBD, MS and psoriasis in 2019 was illustrated at the global, continental, and national levels. Joinpoint regression analysis was adopted to analyze the 1990-2019 temporal trends by calculating the annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC), as well as their 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: In 2019, the global ASPR of RA, IBD, MS and psoriasis was 224.25 (95% UI: 204.94 to 245.99), 59.25 (95% UI: 52.78 to 66.47), 21.25 (95% UI: 18.52 to 23.91) and 503.62 (95% UI: 486.92 to 519.22), respectively, with ASPRs generally higher in Europe and America than in Africa and Asia. From 1990 to 2019, the global ASPR increased significantly for RA (AAPC = 0.27%, 95% CI: 0.24 to 0.30; P < 0.001) and decreased significantly for IBD (AAPC = -0.73%, 95% CI: -0.76 to -0.70; P < 0.001), MS (AAPC = -0.22%, 95% CI: -0.25 to -0.18; P < 0.001) and psoriasis (AAPC = -0.93%, 95% CI: -0.95 to -0.91; P < 0.001), with the most substantial changes occurring at different continents and periods. The trends of ASPR of these four autoimmune diseases varied significantly across 204 countries and territories. CONCLUSIONS: There is a strong heterogeneity in prevalence (2019), as well as their temporal trends (1990-2019) of autoimmune diseases across the world, highlighting the strong distributive inequities of autoimmune diseases worldwide, which may be instructive for better understanding the epidemiology of these diseases, appropriately allocating the medical resources, as well as making relevant health policies.

Cardiovascular disease burden attributable to non-optimal temperature: analysis of the 1990-2019 global burden of disease.

AIMS: Extreme temperatures are increasingly experienced as a result of climate change. Both high and low temperatures, impacted by climate change, have been linked with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Global estimates on non-optimal temperature-related CVD are not known. The authors investigated global trends of temperature-related CVD burden over the last three decades. METHODS AND RESULTS: The authors utilized the 1990-2019 global burden of disease methodology to investigate non-optimal temperature, low temperature- and high temperature-related CVD deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) globally. Non-optimal temperatures were defined as above (high temperature) or below (low temperature) the location-specific theoretical minimum-risk exposure level or the temperature associated with the lowest mortality rates. Analyses were later stratified by sociodemographic index (SDI) and world regions. In 2019, non-optimal temperature contributed to 1 194 196 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 963 816-1 425 090) CVD deaths and 21 799 370 (95% UI: 17 395 761-25 947 499) DALYs. Low temperature contributed to 1 104 200 (95% UI: 897 783-1 326 965) CVD deaths and 19 768 986 (95% UI: 16 039 594-23 925 945) DALYs. High temperature contributed to 93 095 (95% UI: 10 827-158 386) CVD deaths and 2 098 989 (95% UI: 146 158-3 625 564) DALYs. Between 1990 and 2019, CVD deaths related to non-optimal temperature increased by 45% (95% UI: 32-63%), low temperature by 36% (95% UI: 25-48%), and high temperature by 600% (95% UI: -1879-2027%). Non-optimal temperature- and high temperature-related CVD deaths increased more in countries with low income than countries with high income. CONCLUSION: Non-optimal temperatures are significantly associated with global CVD deaths and DALYs, underscoring the significant impact of temperature on public health.

The paper discusses the relationship between non-optimal temperature and cardiovascular disease (CVD) and presents the first-to-date quantification of the global temperature-related CVD burden. Key findings include: Non-optimal temperatures were responsible for a significant proportion of global cardiovascular deaths between 1990 and 2019.People in lower socioeconomic regions were more vulnerable to the effects of non-optimal temperature on CVD than those in higher socioeconomic regions.

Tropospheric formaldehyde levels infer ambient formaldehyde-induced brain diseases and global burden in China, 2013-2019.

Although air pollutions cause human diseases, no epidemiological study has investigated the effect of exposure to air pollutants on brain diseases in the general population. Our objective was to examine the association between tropospheric airborne pollutants and human health risk and global burden, especially, attributable to indoor formaldehyde (FA) pollution in China. The data of tropospheric pollutants, such as: CO, NO, O3, PM2.5 or PM10, SO2, and FA in China, 2013-2019, which were derived from the database of satellite remote-sensing, were first calculated and then analyzed them according to satellite cloud pictures. The rate of prevalence, incidence, deaths, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of the Chinese population was obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD 2010). A linear regression analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between tropospheric FA concentrations and GBD indexes of human brain diseases, the numbers of fire plot, the average summer temperature, population density and car sales in China from 2013 to 2019. Our results showed that the levels of tropospheric FA could reflect the degree of indoor air FA pollution on a nationwide scale in China; in particular, only tropospheric FA exhibited a positive correlation with the rates of both prevalence and YLDs in brain diseases including: Alzheimer's disease (AD) and brain cancer, but not in Parkinson's disease and depression. In particular, the spatial-temporal changes in tropospheric FA levels were consistent with the geographical distribution of FA exposure-induced AD and brain cancer in both sex old adults with age (60-89). In addition, summer average temperature, car sales and population density were positively correlated with tropospheric FA levels in China, 2013-2019. Hence, mapping of tropospheric pollutants could be used for air quality monitoring and health risk assessment.

Global, regional, and national burden of chronic respiratory diseases and associated risk factors, 1990-2019: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Background: The burden of chronic respiratory diseases has changed over the three decades. This study aims to describe the spatiotemporal trends of prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) due to chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs) worldwide during 1990-2019 using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). Methods: The prevalence, mortality, and DALY attributable to CRDs and risk factors from 1990 to 2019 were estimated. We also assessed the driving factors and potentiality for improvement with decomposition and frontier analyses, respectively. Results: In 2019, 454.56 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 417.35-499.14] million individuals worldwide had a CRD, showing a 39·8% increase compared with 1990. Deaths due to CRDs were 3.97 (95%UI: 3.58-4.30) million, and DALY in 2019 was 103.53 (95%UI: 94.79-112.27) million. Declines by average annual percent change (AAPC) were observed in age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPR) (0.64% decrease), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) (1.92%), and age-standardized DALY rates (ASDR) (1.72%) globally and in 5 socio-demographic index (SDI) regions. Decomposition analyses represented that the increase in overall CRDs DALY was driven by aging and population growth. However, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was the leading driver of increased DALY worldwide. Frontier analyses witnessed significant improvement opportunities at all levels of the development spectrum. Smoking remained a leading risk factor (RF) for mortality and DALY, although it showed a downward trend. Air pollution, a growing factor especially in relatively low SDI regions, deserves our attention. Conclusion: Our study clarified that CRDs remain the leading causes of prevalence, mortality, and DALY worldwide, with growth in absolute numbers but declines in several age-standardized estimators since 1990. The estimated contribution of risk factors to mortality and DALY demands the need for urgent measures to improve them. Systematic review registration: http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-results-tool.